Climate change: US formally withdraws from Paris agreement (2024)

ByMatt McGrath,Environment correspondent

Climate change: US formally withdraws from Paris agreement (1)Climate change: US formally withdraws from Paris agreement (2)Getty Images

After a three-year delay, the US has become the first nation in the world to formally withdraw from the Paris climate agreement.

President Trump announced the move in June 2017, but UN regulations meant that his decision only takes effect today, the day after the US election.

The US could re-join it in future, should a president choose to do so.

The Paris deal was drafted in 2015 to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change.

It aims to keep the global temperature rise this century well below 2C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even further to 1.5C.

Why has this taken so long?

The delay is down to the complex rules that were built into the Paris agreement to cope with the possibility that a future US president might decide to withdraw the country from the deal.

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Previous attempts to put together a global pact on climate change had foundered because of internal US politics.

The Clinton administration was unable to secure Senate backing for the Kyoto Protocol, agreed in 1997.

So in the run up to the Paris climate talks, President Obama's negotiators wanted to ensure that it would take time for the US to get out if there was a change in leadership.

Even though the agreement was signed in December 2015, the treaty only came into force on 4 November 2016, 30 days after at least 55 countries representing 55% of global emissions had ratified it.

No country could give notice to leave the agreement until three years had passed from the date of ratification.

Even then, a member state still had to serve a 12-month notice period on the UN.

So, despite President Trump's White House announcement in June 2017, the US was only able to formally give notice to the UN in November last year. The time has elapsed and the US is now out.

What will the withdrawal mean in practice?

While the US now represents around 15% of global greenhouse gas emissions, it remains the world's biggest and most powerful economy.

So when it becomes the only country to withdraw from a global solution to a global problem it raises questions of trust.

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For the past three years, US negotiators have attended UN climate talks while the administration has tried to use these events to promote fossil fuels.

"Being out formally obviously hurts the US reputation," said Andrew Light, a former senior climate change official in the Obama administration.

"This will be the second time that the United States has been the primary force behind negotiating a new climate deal - with the Kyoto Protocol we never ratified it, in the case of the Paris Agreement, we left it."

"So, I think it's obviously a problem."

How is the US pull out being viewed?

Although this has been a long time coming, there is still a palpable sense of disappointment for many Americans who believe that climate change is the biggest global challenge and the US should be leading the fight against it.

"The decision to leave the Paris agreement was wrong when it was announced and it is still wrong today," said Helen Mountford from the World Resources Institute.

"Simply put the US should stay with the other 189 parties to the agreement, not go out alone."

The formal withdrawal has also re-opened old wounds for climate diplomats.

"It's definitely a big blow to the Paris agreement," said Carlos Fuller, from Belize, the lead negotiator for the Alliance of Small Island States in the UN talks.

"We actually worked very hard to ensure that every country in the world could accede to this new agreement. And so, by losing one, we feel that basically we have failed."

Others say that the US pull-out is partly due to the failure of the Obama administration to have the Paris agreement ratified by the US Senate.

"What Obama did at the end of his second term was fundamentally undemocratic, to sign up to a Paris agreement without going to the Senate and the Congress and instead doing it via executive order," said former UN climate chief, Yvo De Boer.

"And then, in a way, you're setting yourself up for what has happened now."

Could the US re-join the agreement?

Yes, it could.

In fact, while on the campaign trail, Joe Biden said he would seek to re-join as soon as possible - if he was elected President.

Under the rules, all that is required is a month's notice and the US should be back in the fold.

However, even if the US chose to re-enter the agreement, there would be consequences for being out - even for a few months.

"We know that the UK and the EU and the UN Secretary General are planning an event on 12 December, on the fifth anniversary of the conclusion of negotiations for the Paris agreement, where they're going to try to drive more ambition," said Andrew Light.

"Under the Paris rules, the US will not be able to participate in that."

Not everyone in the US is upset to leave the Paris agreement?

President Trump made leaving Paris a key part of his election platform in 2016, tying it into his vision of a revitalised US with booming energy production, especially coal and oil.

His perspective on the Paris agreement was that it was unfair to the US, leaving countries like India and China free to use fossil fuels while the US had to curb their carbon.

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"I'm not sure what Paris actually accomplishes," said Katie Tubb, a senior policy analyst at the Heritage Foundation, a conservative US think tank.

"In terms of getting to the end of the century, if the goal is to reduce global temperatures, it just can't be done on the backs of the industrialised world."

"No matter what you think about global warming, and the nature of it, the pace of it, you have to take these growing economies seriously, and help them and I just didn't see Paris getting to that end, in any efficient or constructive manner."

How have US opponents of the pull-out reacted over the past three years?

In the wake of the President's announcement back in 2017, a number of states and businesses have pledged to continue cutting carbon and to try and make up for the Federal government's decision to walk away from the US commitment under Paris.

Among them are America's Pledge, put together by former California governor Jerry Brown and the former mayor of New York, Michael Bloomberg.

They say that states and cities will help cut US emissions by 19% compared to 2025 from what they were in 2005 - that's not enough to make up for the US promise under Paris but it keeps those targets "within reach".

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"The public understands that fighting climate change goes hand in hand with protecting our health and growing our economy," said Michael Bloomberg in a statement.

"So despite the White House's best efforts to drag our country backward, it hasn't stopped our climate progress over the past four years."

On the business front, there has been growing pressure from shareholders of large fossil fuel-based industries to face up to the climate challenge.

A proposal filed by BNP Paribas Asset Management won a 53% majority vote at Chevron - it called on the oil giant to ensure that its climate lobbying was in line with the goals of the Paris agreement.

Will other countries now leave the agreement?

"I don't think anyone will follow Mr Trump out of Paris," said Peter Betts, a former lead negotiator for the UK and the EU in the global climate negotiations, and now an associate fellow at Chatham House.

"Nobody has in the last four years and I don't think they will in the future."

Some are worried that the US withdrawal will see other countries adopt a go-slow attitude, at a time when scientists are saying that efforts should be speeded up.

Climate change: US formally withdraws from Paris agreement (13)Climate change: US formally withdraws from Paris agreement (14)Getty Images

A number of countries, including Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Russia have already shown a willingness to side with US efforts to push back on the science around global warming.

"They are biding their time, they are saying that if the US is not in then we don't need to rush to do anything at this time'," said Carlos Fuller, lead negotiator from the Alliance of Small Island States.

"I think they are hedging their bets to see what kind of a better deal they can get out of it, and not actually withdraw."

Others are hopeful that the US withdrawal will drive a sense of unity among others, and see new leadership emerge.

"The EU green deal and carbon neutrality commitments from China, Japan and South Korea point to the inevitability of our collective transition off fossil fuels," said Laurence Tubiana, one of the architects of the Paris agreement and now chief executive of the European Climate Foundation.

"There were always going to be speed bumps as the global economy shifted off oil, gas and coal - but the overall direction of travel is clear. As governments prepare stimulus packages to rescue their economies from covid-19 it's vital they invest in technologies of the future, not the past."

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Climate change: US formally withdraws from Paris agreement (2024)

FAQs

Why did the US drop out of the Paris climate agreement? ›

On June 1, 2017, US President Donald Trump announced that the United States would cease all participation in the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change mitigation, contending that the agreement would "undermine" the U.S. economy, and put the U.S. "at a permanent disadvantage."

Is the US back in the Paris climate agreement? ›

On January 20, on his first day in office, President Biden signed the instrument to bring the United States back into the Paris Agreement. Per the terms of the Agreement, the United States officially becomes a Party again today. The Paris Agreement is an unprecedented framework for global action.

Does the United States withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on climate change pass the cost benefit analysis test? ›

Likewise, it considers the international impact of such a withdrawal for the country. Part IV concludes that the U.S. withdrawal does not pass the comprehensive cost-benefit test developed in this Article.

What was the outcome of the Paris Agreement on climate change? ›

With the Paris Agreement, countries established an enhanced transparency framework (ETF). Under ETF, starting in 2024, countries will report transparently on actions taken and progress in climate change mitigation, adaptation measures and support provided or received.

Why is the Paris climate agreement failing? ›

Parties to the Paris Agreement are failing to deliver enough action around climate change to offset the significant risks climate changes poses to violent conflict and political instability.

Has the Paris Agreement been effective? ›

Despite facing setbacks and failures, the agreement has proven to be effective in addressing climate change, considering its historical context and political perspectives.

What is the US's biggest source of greenhouse gas emissions? ›

The largest source of greenhouse gas emissions from human activities in the United States is from burning fossil fuels for electricity, heat, and transportation.

How many countries are in the Paris climate Agreement? ›

Paris Agreement
ConditionRatification and accession by 55 UNFCCC parties, accounting for 55% of global greenhouse gas emissions
Signatories195
Parties195 (list)
DepositarySecretary-General of the United Nations
Full text
7 more rows

Is the Paris Agreement good for the economy? ›

We find that mitigation efforts that reduce expected warming from that scenario with a 2.5°C central temperature outcome to instead remain well below 2°C would generate cumulative expected economic benefits of $467 trillion in present value through 2300, equivalent to 1.5 percent of the cumulative expected present ...

Why is the Paris Agreement important to climate change? ›

The Paris Agreement builds upon the Convention and – for the first time – brings all nations into a common cause to undertake ambitious efforts to combat climate change and adapt to its effects, with enhanced support to assist developing countries to do so. As such, it charts a new course in the global climate effort.

Is global warming bad? ›

Global warming can result in many serious alterations to the environment, eventually impacting human health. It can also cause a rise in sea level, leading to the loss of coastal land, a change in precipitation patterns, increased risks of droughts and floods, and threats to biodiversity.

Are we doing enough to stop climate change? ›

That study — which focused on the United States — found that while there has been some progress in terms of reducing carbon emissions, the overall trajectory has not been enough to prevent dangerous levels of climate change.

What is the current status of the Paris climate agreement? ›

The Agreement is a legally binding international treaty. It entered into force on 4 November 2016. Today, 195 Parties (194 States plus the European Union) have joined the Paris Agreement.

What are the conclusions of the Paris climate agreement? ›

In its conclusions, the Council highlighted the urgency for ambitious climate action and the opportunities it brings for the planet, the global economy and the people, and the importance of ensuring a just transition towards sustainable climate-resilient and climate-neutral economies and societies that leaves no one ...

Why has the U.S. refused to follow the Paris Agreement Quizlet? ›

Trump decided to withdraw from Paris Climate Accord because of the cause of lost jobs, low wages, shuttered factories, and diminished economic production.

Why didn't the U.S. join the Kyoto Protocol? ›

U.S. History with the Protocol

Clinton Administration Vice President Al Gore was a main participant in putting the Kyoto Protocol together in 1997. President Bill Clinton signed the agreement in November 1998, but the US Senate refused to ratify it, citing potential damage to the US economy required by compliance.

When did the U.S. withdraw from the Kyoto Protocol? ›

In 2001, President Bush withdrew the U.S. from the Kyoto Protocol, an international treaty committing signatory countries to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Which countries pulled out of the Paris Agreement? ›

The EU and 194 states, totalling over 98% of greenhouse gas emissions, have ratified or acceded to the agreement. The only countries which have not ratified are some greenhouse gas emitters in the Middle East: Iran with 2% of the world total being the largest. Libya and Yemen have also not ratified the agreement.

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